A number of liberal mainstream media outlets have been reporting that Donald Trump is “cratering” in the polls—that he’s suffering an unprecedented drop in the polls just weeks before the Nov. 8 election.
The basis for this “reporting” was a poll released over the weekend by NBC News and the Wall Street Journal that showed Clinton had an 18-point lead. It was later amended to an 11-point lead, then again to a nine-point lead.
The reason for the amendments was never explained, but the NBC poll is a clear outlier.
Taking the most recent polls—none of which have been conducted since Sunday evening’s second debate, and all of which contain biased oversampling of key demographic groups to inflate Clinton’s numbers—and tossing out the NBC/WSJ survey, the liberal media’s pro-Clinton narrative is destroyed. Instead of Clinton holding a 5.5-point lead, it’s a 4.1-point margin—and shrinking.
But as has been pointed out here previously, national polling numbers are irrelevant in the presidential election. Instead, it’s important to look at the individual states. You might recall we went over those a couple weeks ago.
Since then: no change. Trump would still win the election, 295-243, if it were held today.
But, there has been movement in several battleground states’ polling. Clinton’s lead in four states—Maine, Michigan, New Hampshire, and Wisconsin—is shrinking. And in two states—Minnesota and Nevada—Clinton and Trump are close enough now to be considered “statistically tied.”
